Hello Everyone
In Modeling transport decarbonization, it’s expected that power demand will grow smoothly as the transition to EVs progresses. The results for adoption of three scenarios (40%, 85% & Net Zero), in addition to BAU, are attached. But, it oppositely decreased from 2025 smoothly for BAU and the rest until 2035-2042. How can correct it?
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1YlC_eoH6ndOIRyPGGs52KF4qER0iB3Zd/view?usp=drive_link
Dear Abdu,
Since the attached graph represents Total Capacity, I would say that your power system appears to be oversized, especially in hydropower. As a result, the residual capacity in your model seems large enough to meet the increasing demand until around 2040, after which new technologies would need to be installed.
My suggestion would be to review your residual capacity, calculate the theoretical maximum generation potential, and compare it against the electricity demand to verify this case.
Best regards,
Fernando
